The Masters at Augusta Preview and Tips

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(Edited)

It's That Time again

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It's Monday the 4th of April, and it is the first day of a glorious week, the week of the first golfing major of the year and my favorite of the four golfing majors. There is just something special about Augusta National that sets it apart from all other golf courses and tournaments. Ask any golfer what course they would love to play most and the vast majority will opt for the lush green fairways of Augusta National Golf Club.

It's only a few short days before the first balls are hit by the professionals and already the fairways and greens on site have seen some action with some of the best young players in the world teeing it up in the Drive, Chip and Putt contests that are held for kids from the age of 6 up to around 15. I watched some of the coverage yesterday and the kids are amazing, seven year olds swinging it better than lots of adults at my home club! On Wednesday the pros will take part in the par 3 contest, which deep down nobody will want to win, as the winner of the par 3 contest has never gone on to win the overall prize since the par 3 contest was added to Masters week back in 1960. Golf is already a mental minefield, so the last thing any of the top players need is another thought bouncing around their head. So, with the exception of maybe Padraic Harrington who has won this 3 times, you don't often see the top players looking to win it, it is just a formality and a bit of fun before the real deal begins. Instead what you will see is lots of smiles and laughing, at least one hole in one and pros giving their kids, caddies and wives a shot or two as part of their novelty round. It's a good way to ensure that they don't win it!

Thursday at Augusta

Thursday comes and the wait is over for another year, as things get under way. Somebody unexpected gets off to a rocket start with three quick birdies in six holes, but they never keep it going. What August gives, Augusta doth take away just as quickly. It is not a golf course that you can take for granted by any means and the greenkeepers will have it playing nicely for practice on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday only for the real course and real greens to show their teeth on Thursday when the pros tee it up.

Questions abound. Who will we see slipping the green jacket on come Sunday evening? Will anyone melt down on the back 9? Will we see a late surge through Amen corner? Will a form player prevail or is a shock on the cards? Questions galore as we all lap up the kaleidoscope of colours we've grown accustomed to around Augusta National. The pink and white of the azaleas are a feast for the eyes, as the lush green manicured fairways wait anxiously for the worlds best players to toil tirelessly for the biggest prize in golf - The Masters title. A Title win will bring with it a lifelong invitation to play the Masters, which players like Bernhard Langer (winner in 1985 and 1993), Sandy Lyle (Winner in 1988), Larry Mize (Winner in 1987), José María Olazábal (Winner in 1995 and 1999), Vijay Singh (Winner in 2000) are utilising this year and it is always nice to see one or two of these veterans having a good tournament and Langer would be my pick to finish the best from those I just mentioned.

Even those who know nothing about golf or sport in general will be familiar with the scene that is Augusta National Golf course in in the US state of Georgia. This pristine golf course is what Wimbledon is to tennis players; what Wembley is to footballers. It is arguably golf's biggest stage and a stage upon which all of the world's greatest want to bring their A-game.

A nod to the past

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One of the nicest things about the Masters is their appreciation of history and of the golfing greats of yesteryear. Not only do they allow previous winners of a green jacket to return to this golfing amphitheater each year, but they also include three of the greatest golfers ever to play the game to drive in the competition each year. I am of course talking about the three amigos Jack Nicklaus, Arnold Palmer and Gary Player.

With the passing of Arnold Palmer in 2016, there are only two of the great three left standing, but they are still very much part of the build up to the Masters, and will again drive off the competition this year. They were joined last year by legendary player Lee Elder, who became the first black man to play at the Masters in 1975. He inspired future golfing stars like Tiger Woods to pursue their golfing dreams.

@Ablaze's Tips for the Masters 2022

Firstly, if betting is not your thing, then just scroll on by this section, but I know some people like to have a small bet on the golf and many workplaces or sports club do a sweepstakes, so this is for your benefit. When it comes to picking winners for these type of tournaments, I like to whittle the list down to a smaller more manageable list, by removing players I believe will not feature based on some criteria, which I will go through now, but before I do so, here is the full list of players and their bookmaker odds for the 2022 Masters title.

Full List of Players

Jon Rahm 11/1

Justin Thomas 12/1

Cameron Smith 14/1

Dustin Johnson 14/1

Scottie Scheffler 14/1

Collin Morikawa 16/1

Viktor Hovland 16/1

Brooks Koepka 18/1

Jordan Spieth 18/1

Patrick Cantlay 18/1

Rory McIlroy 18/1

Xander Schauffele 18/1

Bryson DeChambeau 33/1

Daniel Berger 33/1

Sam Burns 33/1

Will Zalatoris 33/1

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1

Louis Oosthuizen 40/1

Shane Lowry 40/1

Matt Fitzpatrick 45/1

Paul Casey 45/1

Sungjae Im 45/1

Tyrrell Hatton 45/1

Adam Scott 50/1

Corey Conners 50/1

Joaquin Niemann 50/1

Patrick Reed 50/1

Russell Henley 50/1

Tiger Woods 50/1

Tommy Fleetwood 50/1

Tony Finau 50/1

Abraham Ancer 66/1

Bubba Watson 66/1

Justin Rose 66/1

Marc Leishman 66/1

Sergio Garcia 66/1

Webb Simpson 66/1

Seamus Power 70/1

Billy Horschel 80/1

Gary Woodland 80/1

Max Homa 80/1

Si Woo Kim 80/1

Thomas Pieters 90/1

Brian Harman 100/1

Jason Kokrak 100/1

Kevin Kisner 100/1

Luke List 100/1

Robert MacIntyre 100/1

Talor Gooch 100/1

Cameron Young 125/1

Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125/1

Harold Varner lll 125/1

Lee Westwood 125/1

Sepp Straka 125/1

Tom Hoge 125/1

Cameron Champ 150/1

Erik van Rooyen 150/1

Francesco Molinari 150/1

Kevin Na 150/1

Lucas Herbert 150/1

Matthew Wolff 150/1

Ryan Palmer 150/1

Danny Willett 175/1

Mackenzie Hughes 175/1

Cameron Davis 200/1

J.J. Spaun 200/1

K.H Lee 200/1

Garrick Higgo 250/1

Harry Higgs 250/1

Keita Nakajima 250/1

Min Woo Lee 250/1

Stewart Cink 250/1

Zach Johnson 250/1

Charl Schwartzel 300/1

Hudson Swafford 300/1

Lucas Glover 300/1

Padraig Harrington 300/1

Takumi Kanaya 300/1

Guido Migliozzi 400/1

Austin Greaser 1000/1

Bernhard Langer 1000/1

Fred Couples 1000/1

James Piot 1000/1

Stewart Hagestad 1000/1

Vijay Singh 1000/1

Laird Shepherd 1500/1

Mike Weir 1500/1

Aaron Jarvis 2000/1

José Maria Olazábal 2000/1

Larry Mize 5000/1

Sandy Lyle 5000/1

That's all our runners and riders for this week, so now, I am going to start removing some players based on some facts. This first one is that 9 of the last 10 winners were aged under 40 (Tiger was the one who was over 40 a few years back). A second fact is that 10 of the last 10 winners were ranked in the World's top 30 golfers going into the event. My third fact is that 9 out of 10 players had made the cut the year before. My last fact is that 10 of the last 10 had posted a top 40 at Augusta before (in other words they knew the course)

I will now list the players who meet these four criteria, which whittles our list down to just nineteen players, which I have shared below:

@Ablaze's refined List of Players

Jon Rahm 11/1

Justin Thomas 12/1

Cameron Smith 14/1

Scottie Scheffler 14/1

Collin Morikawa 16/1

Viktor Hovland 16/1

Jordan Spieth 18/1

Xander Schauffele 18/1

Bryson DeChambeau 33/1

Will Zalatoris 33/1

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1

Louis Oosthuizen 40/1

Matt Fitzpatrick 45/1

Tyrrell Hatton 45/1

Joaquin Niemann 50/1

Tony Finau 50/1

Abraham Ancer 66/1

Billy Horschel 80/1

Kevin Na 150/1

@Ablaze's Five players to back

It is not easy to pick just five that I feel will feature, but I'll give it a go, so here are my five tips for Masters 2022:

Jon Rahm 11/1

Jon Rahm loves Augusta and has made the cut each of the five times he has played here. He finished 27th on his debut in 2017 and has finished 4th, 9th, 7th and 5th in the years that followed. Augusta suits Jon and if he can take care of the par 5s with eagles and birdies like he is capable of and avoids silly mistakes, then he is the one to beat this week and a justified favorite in my eyes. I think it might just be Jon's year.

Cameron Smith 14/1

Cameron Smith is hard not to like. He just looks so chilled out the whole time, I'm not so sure about the mullet he sports, but one thing is for sure the young man is a gifted golfer. With three top tens in his five appearances and all cuts made, the plucky Australian will be there or thereabouts come Sunday evening and he won only a few weeks ago at the Players Championship, so his game is sharp.

Collin Morikawa 16/1

Mr. Composure Collin Morikawa has teed it up twice at Augusta in 2020 and 2021 and never really got it going with only one score in the 60s, his second round 69 last year, but finishes of 44th and 18th mean that he knows his way around and experience counts around Augusta, be fully expecting Collin to improve on his previous showings and post his first top ten this week.

Xander Schauffele 18/1

Xander had a great year last year and ended up finishing 3rd and although he has only played here four times before, last year was not his best finish. He went one better in 2019 when finishing tied runner up to none other than Tiger Woods. Xander is another younster who knows his way around Augusta with finishes of 50th, 2nd, 17th and 3rd since 2018. I expect him to be in this again this year and he certainly has the game to win it if he is in with a chance come Sunday evening.

Tony Finau 50/1

Tony is my outsider. He made it in past all of my criteria above and is good value at 50/1 in my opinion. His form is a bit erratic, but that wont matter when he drives up Magnolia Lane and sees the Augusta National golf course on front of him. He is another Augusta specialist, with three top tens from four starts, which includes a 10th place in his debut year in 2018. His four finishes are 10th, 5th, 38th and 10th.

Others who may feature

I think the following players will all make the cut and some may feature when things hot up on the back 9 on Sunday evening. Augusta is all about knowledge and knowing where to miss and when to take your medicine, so these are a few older guys who tend to do well around this magnificent golf course:

Paul Casey 50/1

Mark Leishman 66/1

Justin Rose 66/1

Adam Scott 50/1

Thanks for reading.

The two images here are not my own and were sourced from the following sites:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/golf.com/news/features/100-facts-masters-augusta-national/amp/

https://amp.tmz.com/2020/03/13/2020-masters-golf-tournament-postponed-over-coronavirus/

Peace Out.

Ablaze.jpg



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15 comments
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Nice post man! I am looking forward to the Master's especially with Tiger possibly playing. What a tournament it will be if he features in the top 10 or so! Let us look. Rahm will probably be top 5. But my money (not really but metaphorically) is on Cam Smith! That man's game is on fire. It is also our Club Champs over the weekend, so believe me when I tell you I am on golf overload this week! Let us hope for a tight one.

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Yes, it's amazing to see Tiger back after the accident, let's hope he's OK to tee it up and plays well. I agree on Cam Smith, he's clearly gifted, but he matches that with excellent temperament which will be important when he gets in trouble or hits a bad shot.

Best of luck in the Club Champs man, I hope you do well, what is your handicap and what is the format, strokeplay I assume?

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I am looking forward to it in any case! It is always fun to see how the pros deal with their emotions on such a tough course.

strokeplay

Indeed! Thirty-six holes on Saturday with a small cut of 70% of the field for Sunday. If I make the cut, I will be ecstatic because I have been writing an article for an academic journal for the last two weeks every day and could not practice anything. But I rely on my years of practice haha sometimes it works sometimes not.

I am currently something like a 1 or 2 but they have this weird system now the last couple of years where you have an index that's always higher. That is something like 3 or 4. So basically, I have no idea what the handicap system is in our country but it changes depending on (i) competition and (ii) tee you play off. So for Club Champs, I am playing back tees in a comp so I think 1. But on social rounds when I play with the mates from normal tees and not in a comp it's closer to 4. I reckon people are going to complain about the system (high handicaps get all the favor, lower handicaps cannot win any Stableford points comps). Sorry, very long reply to say I am a 1 or a 4 handicap 🤣

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Ah yes the new handicap index system..... It is a bit ridiculous, especially when you see scores like 47, 48, 49 and sometimes even higher than 50 coming in. That should never be possible, and when it does, then additional cuts based on observation should kick in. Yes, you want to attract people into golf, but not at the expense of the guys who have been members for years and years and have got their handicaps down and can only challenge in strokes events or gross prize.

Well done on getting the handicap so low, that is really impressive, my overall golf target is to some day play of single figures, maybe this year, who knows! I am at 16 right now.. The very best of luck in the club Champs man, sometimes not practicing a huge amount can be good and you will go in relaxed and play on instinct.

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Yes, you want to attract people into golf, but not at the expense of the guys who have been members for years and years and have got their handicaps down and can only challenge in strokes events or gross prize.

Oh this! With club champs now, they set up the course to play like a professional course. The greens feel 100x times faster and you cannot play your "normal" game you are used to throughout the year because they cater to the "good golfers" that only play there once in a while. We have a lot of pro golfers (e.g., Justin Harding if you heard of him) who are members of the club so they cater to these guys and not the members who play there week after week. But such is life right! (Mini rant: club champs in my view is to find the best "club" golfer (that is, the guys/gals who play there week after week) and not the best "golfer" (that is, the low handicappers who play on other mini-tours and who want to be pro and only play there once a year). Rant over.)

target is to some day play of single figures

Totally man! Single figure is all about around the greens. If you can chip and put more consistently you'll easily get to single figures.

The very best of luck in the club Champs man

I missed the cut by one shot! But it is all good. I have ITB syndrome so my knee just gave in on the last three holes of 36. Better luck next year I guess!

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One shot!!! Oh man, I feel your pain, that is tough one to swallow. The same happened last year our Captain's Day (Biggest competition of the year) - I qualified for the day with a great score, I was 5th overall, and then hit three drives out of bounds on the second round, including a 10 on the par5 16th. I missed the afternoon 9 holes (top 27) by a stroke. I was gutted, as it was a great chance for me to have competed for the win. The rest of my game was spot on those days, except on the 10th and two other drives, but hey that's the way it goes.

We have a lot of pro golfers (e.g., Justin Harding if you heard of him) who are members of the club so they cater to these guys and not the members who play there week after week.

Ya I have heard of him, he's been in the top 100 in the world a few times, very good golfer. It is frustrating that the course is taylored for these guys, the putts must become impossible for the mere mortals when they set the place up like that with tough pins and tightly mowed greens.

If you can chip and put more consistently you'll easily get to single figures.

The putting kills me, I played 12 holes yesterday with my brother and godson and had 5 birdie putts, missed them all and 3 putted 3 of them for bogey! I really have to practice... I even went back to an old putter to see if that would help, but that was only 2 rounds ago, so will give it a chance.

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then hit three drives out of bounds on the second round

Yes, this one hurts the most! Because you feel so stupid afterward. Or you feel that you could do so much better. Such is life and this sport, my friend. (Come to think of it, in 2013 I lost club champs because I made a 10 on a par 5.)

become impossible for the mere mortals

Indeed. And then the field plays slower because you have 25+ handicaps trying to make their puts, and then they complain of slow speed. Agh, it is just a weird mixture of appearances they want to cast to the world (they get big sponsors every year). But at least we have fun!

The putting kills me

Right! And that's where you win the most strokes. Interesting, when we play golf we take our time on the greens and no one else really does. So many times we get called out for slow play because we take time and others don't. Golf is a funny sport! (And not to sound like that old fool always being negative but capitalism (i.e., making more money) is hurting this beautiful sport.)

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Golf is a funny sport! (And not to sound like that old fool always being negative but capitalism (i.e., making more money) is hurting this beautiful sport.)

Yep the money and greed ruins everything in the end. Just ask Kino in John Steinbeck's 'The Pearl'

I was talking to a golf friend today and he had an even worse story, he actually qualified for the last 27 last year, but did not realise and had gone home - they rang him when it was his tee time and he had to forfeit his place. The same guy usually struggles to qualify, so he was pretty gutted to miss out on his chance to have his name on the wall for all eternity!

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gutted to miss out on his chance

Oh man, that one must sting. I hate to hear stories like that. But such is life right.

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Looking forward to this and enjoy watching the Wednesday par 3 contest if I remember. I have a feeling it will be one of the older players this year and not a youngster in form. Experience and course management will come out on top as the younger ones tend to go for the crazy one in a million shots and get buried.

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Yes I can see how you might see it that way and I'd be delighted to see one of the older guys get a win. However the likes of Cam Smith, Rahm, Morikawa have all played here 4,4 and 2 times and have faired well, so they won't fear Augusta and I think it will be one of these guys this year, under 40 and playing well, with a top 5 or two under thier belts this year.

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Great post, man and I love your passion for this week since I am of the same ilk. As I mentioned in the last comment on one of your posts I take this entire week off each year so I can enjoy the #1 Major of the year. I will be rooting for Tiger to play, though I doubt he can make it to the weekend, only because of his long layoff, his age, and the fact he is still recovering from the accident last year. Augusta National has several elevation changes and that does not bode well for someone who had multiple open fractures on his right leg just 14 months ago. There were multiple images of him playing his practice round today and the crowd size rivals that of a Masters Sunday crowd. The excitement is real, but I am not sure of his chances.

A couple of notes, the Par-3 contest began in 1960 and you are correct in that no winner of the Par-3 has ever won the tournament the same week.

Not sure if this was a typo or an oversight, but you mentioned Augusta National was in Atlanta, GA. In fact, no, it is actually in Augusta GA, which is a city on the border of GA and South Carolina.

Enjoy the week, and I look forward to your comments once the Green Jacket has been awarded!!

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Fantastic comment, thank you for taking the time to read my post and engaging so well with it. I have edited the post based on your corrections, not sure where I got Atlanta out of! I won't be goingbn Mastermind any time soon with US geography as my specialist subject! 🤣🤣 and good point about the par 3 contest starting in 1960, that was an oversight.

Amazing that Tiger is even there given the accident and the toll on his body, I would love to see him make the CUT, and who knows maybe he will? I was at the British Open in 2019 in Portrush for the final round and was really disappointed that he missed the CUT, as I would have loved to have seen him playing in the flesh.

Enjoy the week off and your Masters overload, who do you think will win it?

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I am rooting for Justin Thomas... I am not of the mind that Tiger will do well, simply because of the hilly terrain and the projected cold weather. the terrain will have an impact on his leg and the cold weather will have an impact on his surgically repaired back. Other possibilities are Camryn Smith, John Rahm, and Scottie Shefler. Either way, it's the Masters and I will love each moment of the week.

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Not a great start for JT, but what about Tiger!!! If he can get his way through another two rounds of 71 or less, he will be in with a chance, he would be one dangerous man if in contention on Sunday evening and I really hope that he is. Cameron and Scottie going very well.

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