Euro 2020 Betting Plans
I'm going in assuming I don't have a profit expectation for this European Championship purely on knowledge since the only teams I follow these days are those that play in the Belgian League. I do have my experience and a fairly good understanding of the actual betting market which should give me a fighting chance to still come out on top.
1. Low Stakes Bets
The first thing I'm doing is setting a maximum amount I'm willing to lose during the entire Tournament. This will be set at 2 full units which is only about 12% of the profit I made during the 2020-2021 Belgian Season (See Total Results Post 1504 Bets | 697W-651L-157P | 391.282 Staked | +17.112u Profit | +4.37% ROI). I won't be betting on this tournament to make a living out of it but more because I really enjoy it still believing I could make some money if I have the right approach.
With nearly all matches are being played separately and I'll be taking 0.2 units as my standard Flat stake for the 'bigger' pre-game and live bets. This gives me room to drop a full 10 units during the month for which I would need to get really unlucky. Just assuming a -4% ROI, this means I can make 250 Full stake bets before expecting to hit zero.
TOTAL EURO 2020 Bankroll | 2 Units |
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Flat Full Stake | 0.1 Unit |
2. Life & Handicapping Routine
If anything, I really like to have structure and Routine and have kind of lost this since the Belgian League Finished. Having now 3 matches on fixed time frames each day for the next 2 weeks should be excellent to build a daily routine that is very enjoyable and healthy for me. Similar to how I approach the Belgian League, I will be making a daily post with Previews on each match (don't expect it to be all too advance) while using the SBC Dicord to cover in-game Betting.
I plan to have the post up each day around the same time which will include the bets I take that day along with the results of the bets of the previous day. I also aim to further work on my health during this period dropping my final corona Kilos. At least during the initial group phase, I hope to be able to do a morning run each day, followed by a shower, a healthy breakfast doing my regular daily activities of checking the crypto markets and news also doing my daily Splinterlands Quests. After this, I will have a look at the daily games hopefully being done around 12:00 with 3 hours left before the start of the first match. During that time I will go to the store & prepare some fresh & healthy food and in-between matches I plan on doing some workouts. I will also keep count making sure I drink at least 3 Liter of water a day. Once the final match is done, I might go on a late evening walk for 40-60 minutes to hit bed afterward.
3. Handicapping Strategy
I'm not 100% sure yet about this one as I for sure have no edge purely on knowledge. Since it is a massive public event, the value will likely be 'against the public' and the widely popular bets (Favorites & Overs). I will also closely follow the movements in the market as that tends to give a very good indication on what to expect. Most action will likely be in-game and maybe also on the corners which is a market I like and I might get some trading positions in. Overall this will mainly all be a big experiment for fun and also as some kind of challenge to beat the bookies without really losing much if I fail (or get unlucky).
4. Bookies Used
The 2 unit bankroll I set out for this tournament will exclusively be bet on my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro which until this day doesn't really have competition as they have a 1-click solution to take the best available odds on the market coming from different asian bookie without limiting winning players. So I will be sure to get rock-solid odds each time.
I might also throw in some Crypto Beer bets between 5$-50$ on the Decentralized Betting Platforms I'm currently using which are...
5. Group Stage Schedule & odds
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Good luck!
Still doubting if I will bet on it!
Probably I will 😂
Yeah, exactly the same here. Not sure if I will be profitable but I'm quite sure I will have some fun with it even if it ends in me losing the bankroll I have put aside.