Jupiler League Week 14 Saturday Previews
Another day grinding out a little bit of profit on Friday getting in on the spot I wrote about in the preview taking Oostende on the corners after OHL took the lead which ended in a fairly easy winner. More matches today to find some mistakes in the odds offered on the Asian betting markets...
Eupen vs Zulte-Waregem
Eupen after being one of the revelation teams now is with 3 losses in a row. They had a boring 1st half and pretty much played for a point away against Charleroi in a match they ended up losing 3-0 with 3 late goals. Peeters who is important was out in that match but he will be back. Their 3 matches all were against solid teams so it's not that they are all of a sudden a bad team. Zulte-Waregem remains somewhat of a mess with another blow-out loss last week against Genk with 2-6. In the 2 matches before they showed some improvement taking a win against Antwerp and a draw against Mechelen without really standing out in their performance. Overall it's hard to trust this team since they have shown not to be able to keep defensive focus long enough while they are vulnerable when getting behind. Despite their 15th place, they are 5W-1L against their Asian handicap in away matches and it's hard to go with Eupen -1 after their recent losses. While I don't have enough confidence in Zulte to consider betting them, I do see them capable of scoring goals as they often have high-scoring matches, especially in the 2nd half. I see some value in Zulte-Waregem Team Total Over 1.5 @ 2.900 and took 0.135 units on it. Eupen only won 1st half at home while Zulte only lost 1 1st half away and I do expect the visitors to be capable enough to keep their focus to also take 0.3 units on Zulte-Waregem 1st Half +0.5 @ 1.835. I'll also be looking at a potential over bet.Kortrijk vs Beerschot
So Beerschot finally took their first win of the season last week in a home match against Seraing. They are still 7 points behind and it will be key for them to keep the streak going today with a good performance. While the win will give a boost, it also was against a rather weak opponent and they are missing quite some players today. Kortrijk has been an ok team without anything more. They took a draw against Standard away last week, they played a great match against Oostende at home, especially during the first half. The market anticipates a reversal for Beerschot but from what I've seen from them so far this season they are just deserved in the last place and it feels like a gamble for the win against a poor opponent to turn everything around. Kortrijk played an excellent 1st half in their previous home match and I don't expect anything else today. Kortrijk is 1st in the Home HT standings with 5 wins and 1 loss, while Beerschot is dead last in the away 1H standings with 5 losses and 1 draw. I took a rather big pre-game bet of 0.625 units on Kortrijk 1H -0.25 @ 2.038 still being cautious since Beerschot did take their first win last week. Kortrijk on the 1st half corners handicap is also a bet I'm looking at and I already took 500 TRX on Kortrijk -0.5 corners 1H @ 1.870 on wink.orgMechelen vs Sint-Truiden
Mechelen is on a roll and they managed to climb to the 4th spot in the standings going 3W-1D in their last 4 matches. They had pretty straighforward results with an away win against Oostende (bad team). A 2-2 draw against Zulte-Waregem (bad team) after leading 2-0. 0-1 win against Beerschot (bad team), 3-1 win against Standard (bad team), 0-2 win flattering against an ok Charleroi. Overall they played good but their opponents also helped in their hot streak. Stvv has played ok recently but more so in their home matches while the betting stats show the opposite having a positive away record which is quite weird. I fully expect this to be a match where Mechelen takes all the initiative going forward while Stvv who are capable of keeping things closed in defense lures on the counters. The -0.5 @ 1.98 odds feel kind of big on the home team but I opted for KV Mechelen Team Total Over 1.5 @ 2.06 instead taking 0.3 units initially with an eye to take more in-game. I'm also leaning toward Mechelen on the 1H corners handicap and took a crypto bet of 750 TRX on Mechelen 1st Half -0.5 Corners @ 1.870 on wink.orgUnion vs Charleroi
For the first time this season Union was actually outplayed by AA Gent but they still managed to get away with a hold-up 0-2 win. On one side it shows that they remain strong while on the other hand, it shows they might be getting in some regression to the mean. They now play at home against Charleroi who are 5th in the league and especially have done well in away matches where they don't have to make the play. Both teams are capable on the defensive end as they are the 2 best defensive teams based on statistics which doesn't really reflect in the 2.75 total line mostly because Charleroi has gone 5-1 on the over away from home. Charleroi got at least 7 corners against in 5 out of 6 away matches while Union created at least 7 in 4 out of 6 home matches. Those came against non-top teams with an average of 10.25 created in those matches on their own! I did take a cautious0.25 unit initial bet on Over 10.5 corners @ 1.970 which is the only bet I'm somewhat comfortable with in this match.Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. All my bigger pre-game & Live bets can automatically be followed on Copytip.
Pre-Game Preview Bets I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections which are all counted as 1 unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. Last season I had 236 of these selections which went +13.96% ROI (See Post). So far this season I had 73 bets which went +1.17% ROI
Season 2021-2022 Crypto Bets
Date | Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Betslip |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
06/11/2021 | Mechelen 1H CK -0.5 | 1.870 | 500 TRX | TBD | Wink.org |
06/11/2021 | Kortrijk 1H CK -0.5 | 1.870 | 500 TRX | TBD | Wink.org |
21/10/2021 | West Ham 1H -0.5 CK | 1.49 | 1000 TRX | +490 TRX | Wink.org |
17/10/2021 | Charleroi +0 CK | 2.02 | 600 TRX | -600 TRX | Wink.org |
16/10/2021 | Union 1H O 2.5 CK | 1.510 | 1000 TRX | -1000 TRX | Wink.org |
02/10/2021 | Kvk vs Cha DRAW | 3.640 | 250 WGR | +660 WGR | Wagerr.com |
26/09/2021 | Uni vs Ant O 3.5 | 2.490 | 20 EOS | -20 EOS | Sportbet.one |
25/09/2021 | Zulte-Waregem +0.25 | 1.860 | 1000 WGR | +430 WGR | Wagerr.com |
19/09/2021 | Genk -0.5 | 1000 WGR | 1.870 | +870 WGR | Wagerr.com |
16/09/2021 | AA Gent 1H O 3.5 CK | 500 TRX | 2.170 | -500 TRX | Wink.org |
13/09/2021 | Beerschot 1H CK -0.5 | 500 TRX | 2.000 | +500 TRX | Wink.org |
11/09/2021 | Antwerp +0 | 800 WGR | 1.810 | +648 WGR | Wagerr.com |
28/08/2021 | Charleroi 1H -2.5 Ck | 100 TRX | 4.040 | -100 TRX | Wink.org |
28/08/2021 | Charleroi 1H -1.5 Ck | 300 TRX | 2.500 | -300 TRX | Wink.org |
28/08/2021 | Charleroi 1H -0.5 Ck | 600 TRX | 1.750 | -600 TRX | Wink.org |
28/08/2021 | Cha vs Bee 1H U1 | 15 EOS | 2.002 | +0.00 EOS | Sportbet.one |
14/08/2021 | Eupen HT -0.5 Ck | 600 TRX | 1.850 | -600 TRX | Wink.org |
14/08/2021 | Union FT -1 Ck | 400 TRX | 1.800 | +320 TRX | Wink.org |
14/08/2021 | Union 1H -0.5 CK | 600 TRX | 1.850 | +510 TRX | Wink.org |
13/08/2021 | Frey To Score | 40 USDT | 2.490 | -40 USDT | betfury.io |
08/08/2021 | AA Gent TT Over 1.5 | 10 EOS | 1.840 | -10 EOS | Sportbet.one |
31/07/2021 | KV Mechelen -0.5 | 20 EOS | 2.140 | -20 EOS | Sportbet.one |
24/07/2021 | Beerschot +0 Corners | 500 TRX | 1.800 | +0.00 TRX | Wink.org |
23/07/2021 | Genk X2 + Over 2.5 | 1000 TRX | 2.500 | -1000 TRX | Wink.org |
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