Season 2020-2021 Final Betting Results

avatar

This 2020-2021 Belgian Jupiler Season ended last week making it the 4th full season I have covered on my blog. This is a full Results & Performance Overview to fully close things down.

I'm pretty much starting each season from zero having around 40 weeks with plenty of matches with an objective to have beaten the Asian Sports Betting market at the end. I Despite never having had a losing season in the last 15+ years, I don't take this for granted whatsoever and always kind of start assuming the market got sharper to the point where I might no longer beat it. If there is anything you learn when betting for a longer time, it's that you have to show a lot of respect to how the lines are being set. That's one of the reasons why I turned more into a volume bettor as there are without a doubt still plenty of betting spots with small edges around.

This season, in particular, was quite strange as it was the first time that is was played without fans and plenty of times where teams were handicapped due to covid cases. That was one of the reasons I was rather cautious on my stakes overall with the fact that I was unwilling to drop ~20 units having to convert some of my Crypto holdings back into Fiat during what clearly has been a bull run.

Season 2020-2021 Final Results

1504 Bets | 697W-651L-157P | 391.282 Staked | +17.112u Profit | +4.37% ROI


Overall this was an excellent season with very little variance and a steady uptrend following the pink expected profit line closely to end really well during the playoffs at a peak of +17.112 Units good for +4.37% ROI which I instantly would have signed for. Looking at individual statistics, they are also gree across the board.

Total1504 Bets+4.37% ROI
Jupiler League Regular Season1246 Bets+2.96% ROI
Jupiler League Playoffs105 Bets+17.0% ROI
Champions League26 Bets+0.1% ROI
Europa League66 Bets+19.79% ROI
Belgian Cup61 Bets-4.75% ROI

Results on Pre-Game, Live & Corner bets are also all in the green. Live bets have done the least best because I sometimes willingly take bets with an expected loss as a way to cover bets and reduce variance which brings about fewer emotional swings helping the overall performance so it evens itself out in a way making life a lot more comfortable. Corner betting also remains a big part of my betting activity which will get harder as my stakes continue to grow becuase those limits are quite small most times.

Pre-Game Bets278 Bets+7.28% ROI
Live Bets761 Bets+2.21% ROI
Corner Bets465 Bets+4.04% ROI

Looking at the stakes, it also shows that all of them are profitable and it's no surprise that the bets where I'm unable to bet as much as I want (Limited Stake) perform the best. The rare full stake bets also performed really well and the tiny bets actually did better compared to the small & medium stakes. This is possibly due to the fact that I tend to ladder in on bets getting the juiciest bets while already having a position that limits me from going bigger on them. It is certainly something I will keep in mind for next season with a combination of betting less on the initial bet and more later on to hopefully get more out of it.

Tiny Stake895 Bets+4.86% ROI
Small Stake449 Bets+1.67% ROI
Medium Stake87 Bets+2.21% ROI
Full Stake15 Bets+26.51% ROI
Limited Stake58 Bets+27.41% ROI

Higher odds traditionally have shown better results but this season I never really put my focus on them and many of them were tiny cover bets. Doing the calculation on all 2.4+ odds I come at 236 Bets with a -3.2% ROI. Getting higher odds on average is something that is constantly on my watchlist and I will continue working on that next season.


So That was it a good season and I'm already looking forward to having a go at it again about 1.5 months from now.


I took all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

Regular Season Results 2020-2021

Week 34 Results 28 Bets | 17W-11L-00P | Staked 07.026u | +1.966u Profit
Week 33 Results 55 Bets | 29W-24L-02P | Staked 15.644u | +0.246u Profit
Week 32 Results 30 Bets | 12W-15L-03P | Staked 08.768u | -3.122u Loss..
Week 31 Results 43 Bets | 24W-14L-05P | Staked 12.208u | +0.348u Profit
Week 30 Results 58 Bets | 23W-31L-04P | Staked 13.854u | -2.152u Loss..
Week 29 Results 55 Bets | 27W-23L-05P | Staked 11.674u | +0.832u Profit
Week 28 Results 44 Bets | 20W-17L-07P | Staked 12.872u | +1.872u Profit
Week 27 Results 47 Bets | 23W-19L-05P | Staked 13.134u | +0.902u Profit
Week 26 Results 25 Bets | 14W-10L-01P | Staked 05.482u | +1.702u Profit
Week 25 Results 25 Bets | 12W-11L-02P | Staked 05.706u | +0.878u Profit
Week 24 Results 22 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 06.194u | +1.250u Profit
Week 23 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.728u | -0.806u Loss..
Week 22 Results 32 Bets | 15W-14L-03P | Staked 08.086u | -0.494u Loss..
Week 21 Results 40 Bets | 18W-20L-02P | Staked 10.204u | -2.314u Loss..
Week 20 Results 54 Bets | 24W-25L-05P | Staked 12.806u | -0.376u Loss..
Week 19 Results 36 Bets | 16W-17L-03P | Staked 08.248u | -0.388u Loss..
Week 18 Results 34 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 09.184u | +2.006u Profit
Week 17 Results 16 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 04.340u | -0.364u Loss..
Week 16 Results 34 Bets | 10W-22L-02P | Staked 08.852u | -2.430u Loss..
Week 15 Results 50 Bets | 37W-33L-14P | Staked 20.970u | +2.644u Profit
Week 14 Results 50 Bets | 25W-18L-07P | Staked 13.498u | +3.146u Profit
Week 13 Results 47 Bets | 20W-20L-07P | Staked 10.676u | +0.660u Profit
Week 12 Results 61 Bets | 23W-31L-06P | Staked 14.378u | -1.700u Loss..
Week 11 Results 45 Bets | 22W-20L-03P | Staked 12.672u | +0.804u Profit
Week 10 Results 44 Bets | 17W-20L-07P | Staked 11.058u | -1.140u Loss..
Week 09 Results 35 Bets | 17W-12L-06P | Staked 09.292u | +1.654u Profit
Week 08 Results 58 Bets | 29W-24L-05P | Staked 15.844u | +5.014u Profit
Week 07 Results 62 Bets | 36W-21L-05P | Staked 15.666u | +3.696u Profit
Week 06 Results 43 Bets | 11W-28L-05P | Staked 12.086u | -3.610u Loss..
Week 05 Results 41 Bets | 23W-14L-04P | Staked 09.880u | +2.590u Profit
Week 04 Results 39 Bets | 16W-18L-05P | Staked 12.258u | -0.604u Loss..
Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 19W-17L-08P | Staked 11.580u | +2.748u Profit
Week 02 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.972u | -1.096u Loss..
Week 01 Results 15 Bets | 04W-10L-01P | Staked 05.618u | -2.724u Loss..

Playoff Results 2020-2021

Playoffs W6 Results 14 Bets | 09W-05L-00P | Staked 04.752u | +1.498u Profit
Playoffs W5 Results 18 Bets | 11W-04L-03P | Staked 05.344u | +1.060u Profit
Playoffs W4 Results 18 Bets | 10W-08L-00P | Staked 04.514u | +0.830u Profit
Playoffs W3 Results 18 Bets | 08W-05L-05P | Staked 03.978u | +0.086u Profit
Playoffs W2 Results 22 Bets | 15W-06L-01P | Staked 04.988u | +1.752u Profit
Playoffs W1 Results 25 Bets | 08W-11L-06P | Staked 06.250u | +0.004u Profit

 Season 2020-2021 Results
1504 Bets | 697W-651L-157P | 391.282 Staked | +17.112u Profit | +4.37% ROI

 Regular Season 2020-2021 Results
115 Bets | 61W-39L-15P | 29.826 Staked | +5.23u Profit | +17.54% ROI

 Regular Season 2020-2021 Results
1389 Bets | 636W-612L-142P | 361.457 Staked | +11.518u Profit | +3.19% ROI

Season 2020-2021 | 1504 Bets +4.37% ROI
Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI

4-year Betting results Chart locking in 5277 bets with an overall result of +3.75% ROI which is just above what I really can expect to win.

I won't fix what isn't broken, so expect a very similar style of me covering the Belgian League which I'm handicapping and betting next season.



Posted Using LeoFinance Beta



0
0
0.000
7 comments
avatar

Another great season has been written to the record books! Amazing result, something to be proud of. I really do like your previews and see if they do match my ideas. Sometimes we do have the same mindset, sometimes it does differ. But you are mostly spot on :)

This result for sure is superb due to the strange season we had. We the games without a real home advantage, the big upsets sometimes and for me personally the non winning streak of Genk.

Up to the next one! But first for me the Euros!

Cheers,
Peter

0
0
0.000
avatar

Thanks, Peter!

Betting is no exact science which is part of what makes it fun and challenging. I used to look at what colleagues were doing back in the day when I was on private betting forums with a couple other Belgian punters and it would really screw with my head. Right now, it's mostly the Asian market movements that make me question my own views but I'm more starting to add them all to the equation.

Indeed on to the next season and I'm really looking forward to it already :)
I don't think I have an edge in the European Championship and if I bet it, it will be an experiment purely betting on market moves. Good Luck!

0
0
0.000
avatar

Good results. Why do not focus on pregame instead of live and win 3 times more?


Posted via proofofbrain.io

0
0
0.000
avatar

Basically, you really need a lot of bets in order to have a representative sample. Some years Pre-Game bets perform quite bad while crushing live betting. A lot of it comes down to short-term variance. This year was quite exceptional on pre-game bets. There also are only that many games so being active in all different markets is needed and I'm quite confident that I'm having a profit expectation on all of them as the longer-term chart indicates.

0
0
0.000
avatar

to be honest with you, when I was betting, the best profit was from horses, followed by tennis and football, mostly pre bet, and just like 20% from live betting. but i presume each of us play a different way.

0
0
0.000