Jupiler League Week 28 Saturday Previews
The match between Mechelen and AA Gent ended in a fair 1-1 score and I broke even on the bets after middling half of my pre-game position just before kick-off when it showed Vadis was starting on the bench. 3 matches to have a closer look at today...
Eupen vs Oostende
Oostende is a team this season you don't really want to bet against as they have been one of the most underrated teams in the market. They are in a deserved 4th spot based on the play they brought so far and at the moment there are no signs yet that this will come to an end. Eupen is in 14th spot and well inside of the safe zone but didn't manage to win in their last 5 League matches. One of the reasons for this might be that their 1st goalkeeper De Wolf left at the start of this month and his replacement just hasn't looked all too solid. I see Oostende as the slightly bigger favorite in this match and took a small-medium position on Oostende +0 @ 1.948. Over 9 corners if it gets there in-play will also be something on my radar. I'm staying away from the total for now as Oostende tends to be an over home team and an under away team. Eupen certainly has scoring options especially when they play against a side that moves forward but also is vulnerable in defense.Moeskroen vs Cercle Brugge
This match is a direct relegation battle between Cercle who are 18th with 23 points and Moeskroen who are 16th with 26 points. Both teams have had a very defensive approach in their previous matches and the fear to lose might win out from the will to win for both these teams today. Moeskroen has been a team that actually managed to beat their Asian handicaps at home on average and the same goes for Cercle in their away matches. Based on the last couple matches, Cercle has put up a better overall performance compared to Moeskroen which is the main reason they are the -0.25 favorite in this match. The total line also seems to be adjusted to the situation and there is just little to no edge for me on the current odds. I missed out on the Under 2.5 line (now Under 2.25) and just got in a small-tiny position on 1st Half Under 1 @ 1.781 anticipating a very nervous start of the match with a focus on defense.Waasland vs Charleroi
Waasland is 2nd last with 24 points and managed to get a win in the match against a poor Eupen during the mid-week despite not being all too convincing themselves. Their coach seems to be taking the approach to go forward and play instead of laying back and I expect similar intentions today. My notes show that they are a team to oppose against good opponents, the win last mid-week might have given them a boost in confidence though. Charleroi dropped out of the top 8 but are without a loss in their last 3 and they actually have enough quality players in their team. They are an under home team (1.82 average) but an over away team (3.71 average) and I do expect goals today as well against Waasland who overall average 3.42 goals in their matches. I took a small-medium initial pre-game bet on Over 3 @ 2.205 in this one and might look to add to this in-game. I also have a lean on Charleroi but and waiting to see the early minutes first. If Waasland scores first it might also be an option for Charleroi to make a comeback.Pre-Game Preview Bets I continue to share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts. Most of them are smaller bets or trading positions and some of them I took early in the week and might not have the exact same odds available. These bets should just be seen as info and not as something to blindly follow. Record on them so far this season is 184 Bets | +14.77% ROI on Flat Unit bets (See Results) Bigger pre-game bets which are rare these days I also tend to take extra on those in BTC.
Season 2020-2021 BTC Bets
Date | Bet | mBTC | Odds | Result | Betslip |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/01/2021 | Standard vs Waasland BTS | 2.5 | 1.86 | +2.15 | sportbet.one |
01/11/2020 | Antwerp -0.5 | 10 | 3.50 | -10 | sportbet.one |
03/10/2020 | OHL vs Zulte 1H Under 1.25 | 10 | 2.010 | +5.005 | sportbet.one |
Bookies, Projects & Platforms I use...
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Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
Dec 2019 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.002000 | -100% |
Nov 2019 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0200 | -0.001800 | -9.00% |
Oct 2019 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.0400 | -0.020800 | -52.00% |
Sep 2019 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0400 | +0.028890 | +72.22% |
Aug 2019 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.1000 | +0.033860 | +33.86% |
July 2019 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0200 | +0.018000 | +90.0% |
Jun 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0000 | +0.000000 | +0.00% |
May 2019 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.0700 | -0.050000 | -71.43% |
Apr 2019 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.0500 | +0.024170 | +48.34% |
Mar 2019 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.0700 | +0.004120 | +5.89% |
Feb 2019 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.060 | +0.023210 | +23.21% |
Jan 2019 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0.100 | -0.079640 | -79.64% |
Dec 2018 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0.150 | -0.058880 | -39.25% |
Nov 2018 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0.170 | -0.032170 | -18.92% |
Oct 2018 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0.150 | -0.028290 | -18.86% |
Sep 2018 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0.140 | +0.141820 | +101,3% |
Aug 2018 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.080 | +0.045470 | +56.84% |
Jul 2018 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0.135 | +0.033590 | +24.88% |
Jun 2018 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0.150 | +0.018200 | +12.13% |
May 2018 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.020 | +0.023440 | +117% |
Feb 2018 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.091 | -0.036293 | -39,88% |
Jan 2018 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.147 | +0.005800 | +3.95% |
Dec 2017 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0.148 | +0.010422 | +7.04% |
Nov 2017 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0.210 | -0.008030 | -3.82% |
Oct 2017 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0.210 | +0.003080 | +1.46% |
Sep 2017 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0.090 | +0.001440 | +1.60% |
Total | 266 | 124 | 126 | 16 | 2.491 | +0.092319 | +3.71% |
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