My pick for today's UFC (April 24, 2021)

Current ROI is negative: -24.38% (AWFUL)
MMA record keeping started on: Mar 2, 2019
Total units risked so far (always flat 1 unit): 56
Total units won or loss so far: -13.657 units
Current record and negative ROI: (28-26-2), -24.38% (AWFUL)

Recap of my UFC pick 4 weeks ago:

I chose Stipe to win the rematch win N'Gannou but he got smoked and lost via knockout in round two.

I only like two fights for tonight's UFC:

Valentina Shevchenko (1.213 ) vs Jessica Andrade (5.15)

My analysis of this fight is pretty simple. Shevchenko is hard to take down, is better on the feet, and has never been knocked out in her UFC career. Pretty much making most of the paths to victory for Andrade unlikely. Shevchenko wins via decision or finish I think. Odds are horrible but take it I will...

My pick is the Valentina Shevchenko moneyline.

Kamaru Usman (1.263) vs Jorge Masvidal (4.40)

Rematch fight with Masvidal. Masvidal lost the first fight but he accepted the figtht on short notice so didn't have a full training camp. Will this make a difference? Maybe yes, maybe no... I think it will be a harder fight for Usman than the first one but with a similar outcome. Usman won't want to stand with Masvidal for very long. He's going to make this fight a grind. Keep Masvidal against the fence or on the ground. Another five round decision looks likely.

My pick is the Kamaru Usman moneyline.


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