College Football First Look: Coastal Carolina vs. Arkansas State 10/7/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

Coastal Carolina visits Arkansas State on 10/7/2021 at 7:30PM.

Coastal Carolina and Arkansas State face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! Coastal Carolina sports a record of 5-0 this season. Arkansas State is 1-4 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…

Coastal Carolina Team Defense Preview

Coastal Carolina has had 40 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.13 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Coastal Carolina struggles to find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and this means that when a three-and-out is necessary late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays are 46.53% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have had some form of run/pass balance against them.
Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, the defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Coastal Carolina can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.87 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.
This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Coastal Carolina has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

Coastal Carolina Team Offense Preview

Coastal Carolina has had 39 total drives this season and they generate 6.54 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Coastal Carolina. Any defense is in for a challenge with Coastal Carolina, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Coastal Carolina passes the football 36.47% of the time.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.
On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Coastal Carolina has had done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.61 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box is not enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season . They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.
Coastal Carolina bullied and controlled defenses this season , defenses are not to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. They have had done a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Coastal Carolina is a better passing team than running team this season .

Arkansas State Team Defense Preview

Arkansas State has had 59 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.61 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Arkansas State are not a team that allows many plays per drive. The defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Arkansas State has had shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Arkansas State opponents passes the football 48.90% of the time.Opponents typically have had some form of run/pass balance against them.
Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, the defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.53 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about their front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this season ‘s horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.
This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense. Their front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Arkansas State has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

Arkansas State Team Offense Preview

Arkansas State has had 64 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.14 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Arkansas State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays are 67.17% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are passes the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.
Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this season offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Arkansas State can take credit for 3.33 yards per carry. It is acceptable to say that this season ‘s offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Arkansas State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this season ‘s offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. With a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, breakout rushing plays are possible, but it is not something to count on from them.
Defenses are able to impose their will on the Arkansas State Offense this season . Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Arkansas State is a better running team than passing team this season .

The Coastal Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for Coastal Carolina

Grayson McCall QB 6’3″ 210 Sophomore

Grayson McCall put up 1113 yards, tossed 10 touchdowns, and he threw 1 interceptions this season. He was considered one of the gunslingers of College Football this season. His average completed pass was 12.9 yards. The zone read is a common part of the offense and mobility is used as part of the offense, but not necessarily the focus of the offense. His average rush was 2.6 yards.

Reese White RB 5’10” 195 Junior

Reese White had 374 rushing yards on 53 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 6 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 7.1 yards. He was average among running backs when it comes to his role as a receiver in the offense. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 7.1 yards.

Jaivon Heiligh WR 6’2″ 200 Senior

Jaivon Heiligh picked up 499 yards through the air. He caught the ball 24 times this season. He reached the end zone 4 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 20.8 yards.

C.J. Brewer DT 6’2″ 290 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Coastal Carolina, C.J. Brewer, had 20 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 4 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 2 sacks this season.

Braylon Ryan DE 6’2″ 275 Freshman

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Coastal Carolina, Braylon Ryan, had 9 tackles this season.He was not a factor as far as tackles for loss was concerned this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.

Brayden Matts S 6’1″ 190 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Coastal Carolina, Brayden Matts, had 17 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.

Enock Makonzo CB 5’11” 195 Senior

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Coastal Carolina, Enock Makonzo, had 26 tackles this season.Among Cornerbacks, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 4 tackles for loss this season.He was a non-factor as far as intercepting passes was concerned this season.

The Arkansas State Roster

The Players to Watch for Arkansas State

James Blackman QB 6’5″ 190 Junior

James Blackman put up 1264 yards, tossed 8 touchdowns, and he threw 4 interceptions. He threw a variety of different length passes. His average completed pass was 7.3 yards. The zone read is a common part of the offense and mobility is used as part of the offense, but not necessarily the focus of the offense. His average rush was -0.1 yards.

Johnnie Lang RB 5’8″ 193 Junior

Johnnie Lang had 125 rushing yards on 32 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 0 rushing touchdowns. He was relied upon to carry the ball quite a bit this season. His average rush was 3.9 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 3.9 yards.

Corey Rucker WR 6’0″ 190 Sophomore

Corey Rucker picked up 458 yards through the air. He caught the ball 28 times this season. He reached the end zone 6 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 16.4 yards.

Terry Hampton DL 6’3″ 293 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Arkansas State, Terry Hampton, had 9 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.

Elery Alexander S 6’1″ 190 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Arkansas State, Elery Alexander, had 37 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He was among the best at disrupting things up the middle and getting to QBs, he had 1.0 sacks this season.

Taylon Doss CB 5’11” 176 Sophomore

The leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Arkansas State, Taylon Doss, had 22 tackles this season.Among Cornerbacks, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 1 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 pick-offs this season.

Coastal Carolina vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Picks, and Odds

Prediction: Coastal Carolina 50 Arkansas State 23
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Moneyline Pick: Coastal Carolina -775 WagerWeb
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