Betting - Tracked Horses Strategy - #2 - Dual Identity
Hi sports fans, and sports bettors.
The second of my series betting on horses recommended by tipsters as ones to follow. And we start with a recap on the result of the first horse to be backed My Boy Jack who ran yesterday, finishing a close 2nd (0.5 lengths) to the favourite Idoapologise. Initially held up in the rear, but found a seam between horses over 1f out, making up ground quickly and moving into 2nd, with every chance of nabbing the win inside the last furlong, but didn't quite make it.
Next up we have Dual Identity trained by another Newmarket based trainer William Knight. A 4yo Bay Gelding, he has run 18 times since his debut in October 2020, recording 3 wins, 5 seconds and three third places, mostly over trips of 1 mile and above. Was last a winner in July at Sandown in a field of 8 runners, over 1m 2f, and followed this up with a second and most recetly a fantastic third in the Class 2 Cambridgeshire at this course last month. Consensus seems to be that today's trip of 1M 2F is his favoured distance, and the odds I got from my bookie suggest he is the one to beat on recent form.
Once again Rendlesham Racing picked this one as one to follow recently and this is what they said about Dual Idenity in the email received from Tipsters Empire following that excellent run in the Cambrigeshire
DUAL IDENTITY Trainer - William Knight
This week my notebook horse has to be Dual Identity, after he ran an excellent race in circumstances in the Cambridgeshire handicap on the weekend. He was actually slightly weak in the market on Saturday but ended up finishing 3rd of the 28 runners and beaten just over a length by Majestic. He was waited with in midfield, travelled strongly into the race as he made headway 3f from home and he struck the front heading into the final furlong but was soon headed. The obvious thing to point out was that he raced over the far side of the track but I don't think at one stage during that race the far side group were in front, they always seemed to be playing catch up a bit. That can be seen in the finishing positions as he was first past the post from that far side group and you have to go all the way back to 10th to find the 2nd past the post (5L behind Dual Identity) from that group of runners. I think that run has to be marked up a big chunk given he beat the horses on his side by 5L+.
He's a horse that I think I have flagged up before but I didn't back him on Saturday because 1) I thought the trip would be slightly on the short side for him and 2) The William Knight stable haven't been in great form of late, now 28 days since their last winner. He's certainly a horse to follow as a win looks just around the corner and hopefully the Knight team can find a bit of form. I think he's at his best over 1m2f and on ground that is no faster than good but he's also proven and still lightly raced on the AW, so that's another avenue that could be explored with him.
|Newmarket Beacon Thanks Mark Kirkby Handicap|
|3 YO +|
|Good to Soft (Soft in places)|
|Drawn 2 of 8|
|Jockey Andrea Atzeni|
Good luck to all if you take this on, and let me know how you do.