Horse racing - Follow the Tipster - 16th October

Yesterday's Recap - 15th October, 2022

Began towards the rear of the field. Pushed on from 2f out and moved forward well. Led inside the final furlong brifely, buit couldn't match the pace of the winner, overtaken in the last 110 yards unfortunately. Ran on well, however, to be a clear 2nd.

Tipster's Stats - Expert Eye (since start of competition) source



Drama on the final day of the Racing Post's Napster Tipping Competition. At the start of the day the top two had chosen to pick the same horse for their bets. Sweet Believer in the Balmoral Handicap at Ascot. As i noted in yesterdays post this would have meant Expert Eye, ahead by £6 at the beginning of racing, being a shoe in for the title. Third placed Melissa Jones was hoping for a big return with her selection in an earlier, but that challenge died with a 10th place finish and at 40-1 would have landed the title for her. I'm sure Expert Eye who was now in poll position breathed a sigh of relief. On the day Sweet Believer finished 2nd, even leading briefly inside the final furlong. But the big shock was the horse who won that very same race, Shelir, came home at a stonking 80-1, and whipped the trophy out of Expert Eye's hands, handing it to Andrew Bladen of the Wolverhampton Express & Star. The margin of the victory was over £40, all thanks to just 1 horse. Unfancied by the punters given his high starting price, but came up trumps on the day.

Daily Summary

Brought Forward27-98-621.6%£0.65
1st OctTarhib4-12nd4-1£0.0027-99-621.43%£0.55
2nd OctSnapraeterea8-113th12-1£0.0027-100-621.26%£0.45
3rd OctStar Player11-81st11-8£0.2428-100-621.88%£0.59
4th OctElterwater11-25th17-2£0.0028-101-621.70%£0.49
5th OctDal Mallart11-110th11-1£0.0028-102-621.54%£0.39
6th OctDundory5-24th11-4£0.0028-103-621.37%£0.29
7th OctMaster Zoffany8-17th11-1£0.0028-104-621.21%£0.19
8th OctEvaluation14-112th14-1£0.0028-105-621.05%£0.09
9th OctEffernock Fizz6-11st9-2£0.5529-105-621.64%£0.54
10th OctTasanoq7-19th15-2£0.0029-106-621.48%£0.44
11th OctHighbank11-82nd11-8£0.0029-107-621.32%£0.34
12th OctFox Journey6-44th11-4£0.0029-108-621.17%£0.24
13th OctSea Me Dance9-22nd7-1£0.0029-109-621.01%£0.14
14th OctKanakam11-41st11-4£0.3530-109-621.58%£0.39
15th OctSweet Believer**12-12nd8-1£0.0030-110-621.42%£0.29

Best Odds in BOLD

Monthly Summary
Total StakedTotal ReturnsTotal Profit/(Loss)Running TotalW-LStrike RateNRW/L Streak
May 2022£2.30£4.19£1.89£1.898-1436.36%
June 2022£3.00£3.01£0.01£1.904-2516.00%1
July 2022£2.70£3.62£0.92£2.828-1732.00%2
Aug 2022£2.40£1.83(£0.57)£2.255-1821.73%1
Sep 2022£2.80£1.20(£1.60)£0.652-267.14%2
Oct 2022£1.50£1.14(£0.36)£0.293-1121.42%L - 1

So the flat season tipster competition has come to an end, and certainly the last half of the strategy hasn't been as successful as the first half, with September being particularly poor results wise. We did, however, come out with a small profit from the experience. The tipster we
were following for the most part of this campaign got pipped at the post for the title of Top Tipster by a huge 80-1 outsider on the last day, although you might argue losing by over £40 profit isnt exactly being

Today's Bet - 16th October, 2022

As the tipsters have all posted a selection for today, which I believe marks the start of the Autumn/Winter competition (normally associated with the Jump season - but with the advent of all weather surfaces flat racing continues all year round now) we are having a punt for today, and we'll start with Andrew Bladen's pick as he is listed a top for now.

SelectionRoaring Gallagher
Meeting & Race14:20 Naas (Ireland) - Irish European Breeders Fund Auction Series Final
Age Group2yo
TipsterAndrew Bladen
No.of Runners14
GoingYielding to Soft
JockeyS. M. Crosse
TrainerJoseph Patrick O'Brien
Recent Form14
Odds Taken8-1
Bet TypeWin
Est. Return£0.90
Est. Profit£0.80
CommentsA win from his debut outing in August in a field of 8, followed by 4th of 5 at The Curragh 22 days ago.


If you are following the strategy let me know how you're doing overall, what odds you got on this race?, were they better/worse than I took?. Do you have a strategy of your own? I'll send 100 SPORTS tokens if you leave a relevant comment.

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