My pick for today's UFC

Current ROI is negative: -21.6% (AWFUL)
MMA record keeping started on: Mar 2, 2019
Total units risked so far (always flat 1 unit): 49
Total units won or loss so far: -10.552 units
Current record and negative ROI: (25-22-2), -21.6% (AWFUL)

Recap of my UFC pick 2 weeks ago. Basically I sucked again. I chose Michael Johnson and he had no answer for Clay Guida's wrestling and pressure. Guida cruised to an easy decision win. That pushed my record to an abysmal -21.6% ROI. At this point I'm just hoping to break my losing streak. I've gone 0-4-1 in my last 4 picks with a 3 pick losing streak.

2/13/2021 11:59 PM Reduced Fighting 1002 Kamaru Usman (1.385) vs Gilbert Burns (3.4)

This is a hard fight for Usman. Burns has excellent JJ grappling to counter Usman's wrestling. Burns has KO power and is great on the feet so there's not much of an edge there either. Only reason I'm picking Usman is because of his ability to grind opponents on the fence whether they like it or not. Can he do it for five rounds? I sure hope so because my pick is the Usman moneyline.

Fight starts in a couple of hours...