My pick for today's UFC (March 6, 2021)

Current ROI is negative: -20.71% (AWFUL)
MMA record keeping started on: Mar 2, 2019
Total units risked so far (always flat 1 unit): 52
Total units won or loss so far: -10.767 units
Current record and negative ROI: (27-23-2), -20.71% (AWFUL)

Recap of my pick last week:

I chose Gane and he easily beat Rozenstruik via 5 round decision. He won every round.

For today's UFC, I only like 3 fights:

Petr Yan (1.76) vs Aljamain Sterling (2.15)

Both have good stand-up though Yan is better I think. Sterling has better wrestling but Yan has good takedown defense. I'm not sure but I think Yan has better cardio too. Five round fight for the title so that could be an important factor.

My pick is the Petr Yan moneyline.

Amanda Nunes 1.11 vs Megan Anderson 7.02

Amanda Nunes is the goat (greatest of all time) of the women's division. The odds show a mismatch of a fight. I agree.

My pick is the Amanda Nunes moneyline.

Israel Adesanya 1.38 vs Jan Blachowicz 3.15

Jan Blachowicz is a worthy champion for the light heavyweight division. He's red hot having won 4 straight fights. His "Polish power" is legit with 3 of those wins by knockout. Adesanya's extensive kickboxing experience has translated well into the octagon and he is the current middleweight champ. Israel is undefeated so far in the UFC although that was in the middleweight division and he is moving up in weight to fight for the light heavyweight championship. This is a legacy fight for Israel as he's hoping to be among the rare few fighters to hold two division belts at the same time.

Israel has been knocked out before pre-UFC in a kickboxing match. So Jan definitely has a chance. I think Jan will try to take Israel down in this fight. He's a natural light heavyweight so he might try to use his size advantage here if the knockout blow proves to be elusive. Israel has good takedown defense so that won't be easy. Hard fight for Israel but I think he's just better on the feet.

My pick is the Israel Adesanya moneyline.