My little experiment in figuring out how good I am at guessing MMA fight results has now gathered 17 data points:
- dPollers were right 65% of the time
- Bettors and I were right 71% of the time
- dPollers got 5 consensus bets wrong and only managed to win against consensus twice.
- My betting only delivered 3 out of consensus bets where I could have made some money and I got 3 consensus bets completely wrong. So far it doesn't look like I should get into sports betting anytime soon.
How do odds work: (-) indicates the favourite, (+) indicates the underdog
Usman -220 means you pay 220 in order to win 100
Masvidal + 190 means you pay 100 to win 190
Odds from William Hill via https://www.bestfightodds.com/
List of UFC events: Wikipedia