Week 18 Results | 18W-13L-3P | +2.006 Units Profit

over 3 years ago

This is a weekly overview of my personal sports trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.

Week 18 was quite interesting and I managed to do well despite the fact that the market remains quite hard to predict with oftentimes very strange odds and lines. I really avoided losses last weekend mostly thanks to the fact that I highly respect how the lines are being set, not putting my own opinion above it, and understanding that this is a game of small edges with a lot of smart money in it.

2 Matches had very similar patterns where all the numbers indicated one thing while the line and the odds indicated the complete opposite. I'm talking about the Zulte-Waragem vs Sint-Truiden match and OHL vs KV Mechelen. Both home teams were ranked way above the opponent and were in good streaks while the away teams were in bad streaks. The market had both these away teams set as the favorite which made so little sense that something had to be up and sure, both away teams ended up as the outright winners. I kept my stakes to a minor position on the first match also opting for a 'lose-a-little-win-a-lot' position losing the minimum and kept away from the 2nd match side all together which is exactly what I wrote in my preview.

A small loss in the pre-game bold selections this week going 1W-2L-1P and I do expect a real correction to come eventually which likely will come along with a rise in live-betting results as I often cover part of my positions or get into middles in-game. Overall 149 Bets so far still good for 17.22% ROI on flat stakes.

Covid seems to be in a 3rd wave with many teams getting hit again and a crazy busy schedule in January after a short winter break. This does not make things optimal for bigger bets also taken on Copytip and the SBC Discord Channel. The main aim is to have these as solid selections that I'm confident on will do good over time but in current circumstances, this is rather hard.

Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021

11/12/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 1.945 FT 1-0 LOST
01/11/2020 Antwerp +0 @ 2.500 FT 1-0 LOST
03/10/2020 OHL vs Zulte 1H U 1.25 @ 1.989 HT 1-0 HALF WON
30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 WON
22/08/2020 Zulte-Waregem Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 WON

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There was a nice bounce to the upside last week and I continue to increase my small stake size slowly going toward a style where they turn into medium bets which I take up as flat bets like I'm basically taking small bets as flat stakes now. I increased the stakes by a small 3.5% this week and will add a little more to them in week 19

Previous Personal Results 2020-2021

 Regular Season 2020-2021 Results
772 Bets | 340W-341L-92P | 203.823 Staked | +11.179u Profit | +5.48% ROI

Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI

1 more week before the end of the year and plenty of action in January with some teams playing matches with 2 resting days in between their games. I'm keeping up my routine and will be back next week with more previews and a results roundup.

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4 comments

@anderssinho 65

over 3 years ago

Are you on Scorum?

Posted Using LeoFinance ^Beta

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@costanza 75

over 3 years ago

yes I am yes, https://scorum.com/en-us/profile/@costanza

Scorum is quite dead though the way I look at it. I still cross-post my previews but it's a hassle at times as they have an anti-plagiarism system where my own posts get flagged If I don't post there first or highly alter them using images.

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@ecency 76

over 3 years ago

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@edgerik 67

over 3 years ago

Great work

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