My Picks for this Saturday's UFC

in #sportstalklast year (edited)

Current ROI is negative: -18.25% (awful)
MMA record keeping started on: Mar 2, 2019
Total units risked so far (always flat 1 unit): 34
Total units won or loss so far: -6.206 units
Current record and negative ROI: (19-15), -18.25%

My capping has been terrible lately as the atrocious ROI obviously shows. I have no intention of chasing though and will just continue on the flat 1 unit way. Eventually this slump I'm on will be gone... eventually.

There are only 2 fights I like for this Saturday's UFC. The Main Event and the Co-Main Event.

Khabib Nurmagomedov (1.234) vs Dustin Poirier (4.400)

Poirier has excellent stand up and knock out power but Khabib's wrestling is too dominant. Everyone knows what Khabib will do and yet no one has been able to stop him from doing it. I don't think Poirier will be the one to solve him. My guess is that Khabib either submits Poirier or gets a decision win.

My pick is the Khabib Nurmagomedov moneyline.

Paul Felder (2.250) vs Edson Barboza (1.709)

More than 4 years later Felder and Barboza will rematch. I'm expect another stand-up war, closer than the first fight but the result to be similar. Barboza's standup is still just slightly better. Barboza wins via unanimous or split decision again.

My pick is the Edson Barboza moneyline.

The fights start in a few hours in the early Saturday morning since these fights are in Abu Dhabi.

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I edited my post pick to Edson Barboza from Paul Felder. The fight doesn't start for at least another 17 hours so it shouldn't matter that I edited it just now.