Jupiler League Week 21 Sunday Previews
I managed to make a bit more profit yesterday and things are pretty much resuming where they were left off before the winter break with a cautious grind and quite some difficulty to find good value. 4 Matches on the schedule today.
Antwerp vs Charleroi
Antwerp was the big winner in the Golden Shoe which in the past at times was followed by not the best match. They were also out of form at the end of last year and play more forward compared to last season which leaves them more vulnerable in the back. They also are without Coulibaly & Bataille there with De Laet Questionable making it so that 3 2nd choice players will be in the backline along with Alderweireld. In the offense they are without Balikwisha so overall a weakend squad. Overall they have been a correctly valued team over the course of the season and a -0.75 line against Charleroi with a 2.75 total seems about right. Charleroi is in the relegation zone with their coach playing too defensively with an offense that doesn't score that easily. I do expect that they will continue to fight below to avoid the play-downs the remainder of the season. They are the worst away team in the league on all metrics and went 7W-2.5L-0.5P on the under line there. They are without their main goalkeeper but aside from that they are complete. Neither team I'm really willing to back or oppose right now. I am looking at the corners as Antwerp is expected to take the initiative with Charleroi crawling back with stats that support a 1st half corners win for the home team. I did take crypto bets on Antwerp 1H Corners -0.5 @ 1.700 for 0.0101 ETH on Dexports and just 8.10$ at 1.790 on Rollbit as my balance their is in RLB fully.Union vs Sint-Truiden
Union was just really good in the first half if the season with heavy handicap lines which they pretty much still crushed. The question remains how long their good streak will last or if this is just the norm now for them. They are without 6 key players in Morris, Amoura, Lazare, Machida, Vanhoutte, Lapoussin today which in theory should make them weaker but in the past when they played with a B-Squad they didn't get influeced much by it which is the same for them after having payed European matches. Stvv was also good in the first half of the season mainly thanks to an excellent Koita who they will miss today along with goalkeeper Suzuki. So quite some key missings on both sides and I'm just going to stay away from this one for now. No Pre-Game BetsOH Leuven vs Anderlecht
OHL is still in the danger zone but are coming off a clean win against Eupen before the winter break and they also have their entire squad available. Anderlecht are without Delaney and Sardella in the defense with Vertonghen still questionable. If he plays, the quality difference should be too big and the 1.6-1.7 type odds are justified. If andything I' m tempted with the +1 line on the home team as these matches never tend to be easy. However Anderlecht is 7W-3L in away games against the asian handicp. So this one is another match where I will just wait and see what happens before possibly getting something in. No Pre-Game BetsRWDM vs Eupen
This is a relegation battle match between the 13th (RWDM) & 15th (Eupen). RWDM played a mid-week cup match away against Oostende which they ended up losing, I didn't get to watch that match. Overall, I see RWDM as the better team but the fact that they lost in the cup doesn't really give me the confidence to back them. These matches tend to start with both teams nervous and poor quality of play. RWDM has been an under-home team going 5W-4L while Euoen away is 6W-3L on the under line. I did take a 0.25 unit trading position on 1st Half Under 1 @ 2.152 which I'm looking to get out or take profit on along the way if their is no early goal.Season 2023-2024 Crypto Bets
Date | Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Bookie |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21/01/2024 | Antwerp 1H -0.5 CK | 8.10$ | 1.790 | TBD | Rollbit |
21/01/2024 | Antwerp 1H -0.5 CK | 0.0101 ETH | 1.700 | TBD | Dexsport.io |
26/12/2023 | Union +1 CK | 0.01115 ETH | 1.720 | -0.01115 ETH | Dexsport.io |
26/12/2023 | Union +0.5 CK | 0.01115 ETH | 1.900 | -0.01115 ETH | Dexsport.io |
15/12/2023 | Westerlo 1H -0.5 CK | 0.01115 ETH | 1.800 | -0.01115 ETH | Dexsport.io |
10/12/2023 | Club Brugge 1H -0.5 CK | 0.0107 ETH | 1.730 | +0.007811 ETH | Dexsport.io |
03/12/2023 | UNI vs CER O 12.5 CK | 0.00968 ETH | 3.500 | -0.00968 ETH | Dexsport.io |
26/11/2023 | Anderlecht 1H -1.5 CK | 26.56$ | 1.800 | +21.25$ | Rollbit |
26/11/2023 | Anderlecht 1H -1.5 CK | 0.00968 ETH | 1.800 | +0.007744 ETH | Dexsport.io |
25/11/2023 | Westerlo +2 CK | 0.00968 ETH | 2.000 | +0.00968 ETH | Dexsport.io |
25/11/2023 | Westerlo +2.5 CK | 0.00968 ETH | 1.780 | + 0.0075504 ETH | Dexsport.io |
25/11/2023 | Westerlo +1.5 CK 1H | 0.00968 ETH | 1.700 | -0.00968 ETH | Dexsport.io |
05/11/2023 | UNI vs CLU Equal Goals | 20$ | 3.150 | -20$ | Rollbit |
05/11/2023 | UNI vs CLU 1H More Goals | 30$ | 3.150 | -30$ | Rollbit |
05/11/2023 | STA 1H -0.5 CK | 0.01058 ETH | 2.500 | +0.01587 ETH | Dexsport.io |
05/11/2023 | STA 1H -0.5 CK | 0.0106 ETH | 1.780 | +0.00827 ETH | Dexsport.io |
05/11/2023 | STA 1H -0.5 CK | 50$ | 1.740 | +37$ | Rollbit |
29/09/2023 | CER 1H O2.5 CK | 0.0119 ETH | 1.760 | +0.0090 ETH | Dexsport.io |
16/09/2023 | Genk -0.5 | 42$ | 4.000 | +126$ | Rollbit |
03/09/2023 | CHA vs STV O 12.5 CK | 0.0078 ETH | 4.800 | -0.0078ETH | Dexsport.io |
03/09/2023 | CHA vs STV O 11 CK | 0.0122 ETH | 3.100 | -0.0122 ETH | Dexsport.io |
27/08/2023 | AND 1H -0.5 CK | 100$ | 1.690 | -100$ | Rollbit |
19/08/2023 | Cercle Over CK | 0.05 ETH | ~ | -0.05 ETH | Dexsport.io |
17/08/2023 | GNK 1H -0.5 CK | 80$ | 1.620 | +49.6$ | Rollbit |
11/08/2023 | ANT 1H Goals +0 | 50$ | 2.328 | +66.4$ | Rollbit |
06/08/2023 | AA Gent TT O1.5 | 0.0018 BTC | 1.980 | -0.0018 BTC | Sportbet.one |
06/08/2023 | KVM vs GNT O2.5 | 00034 BTC | 1.870 | -0.0034 BTC | Sportbet.one |
06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 0.0045 BTC | 1.810 | -0.0045 BTC | Sportbet.one |
06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 0.03 ETH | 1.830 | -0.03 ETH | Dexsport.io |
06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 30000 XFUN | 1.830 | -30000 XFUN | Xfun.bet |
5/08/2023 | Cercle 1H O 2.5 CK | 0.0109 ETH | 1.850 | -0.0109 ETH | Dexsport.io |
5/08/2023 | Cercle 1H -0.5 CK | 80$ | 1.670 | -80$ | Rollbit |
05/08/2023 | Genk -1.5 | 0.0045 BTC | 1.920 | -0.0045 BTC | Sportbet.one |
02/08/2023 | Genk 1H -0.5 CK | 50$ | 1.660 | +33$ | Rollbit |
30/07/2023 | Ant Equal Goals Halves | 3500 XFUN | 3.600 | -3500 XFUN | Xfun.bet |
30/07/2023 | Ant More Goals 1H | 40$ | 3.150 | +86$ | Rollbit |
Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...
Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record
Year | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-2023 | 76 | 42 | 31 | 3 | 0.1685 | +0.029687 | +17.62% |
2021-2022 | 56 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 0.115 | +0.0166 | +14.45% |
2020-2021 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.0250 | -0.002845 | -11.38% |
2019-2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
2018-2019 | 59 | 24 | 27 | 5 | 0.5900 | -0.02199 | -3.7% |
2017-2018 | 136 | 65 | 64 | 7 | 1.233 | +0.112687 | +9.14% |
2016-2017 | 70 | 34 | 34 | 2 | 0.658 | +0.006912 | +1.05% |
Total | 402 | 194 | 183 | 22 | 2.7995 | +0.153761 | +5.49% |
IMPORTANT !
Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!Posted using SportsTalkSocial
0
0
0.000
Congratulations @costanza! You have completed the following achievement on the Hive blockchain And have been rewarded with New badge(s)
Your next payout target is 24000 HP.
The unit is Hive Power equivalent because post and comment rewards can be split into HP and HBD
You can view your badges on your board and compare yourself to others in the Ranking
If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word
STOP
To support your work, I also upvoted your post!