These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...
I started off with a limited loss yesterday which could have been bigger if I didn't respect the market. So for now pretty much the same trend continues with lines being very sharp and hero bets getting punished. 3 Matches on Saturday.
RWDM vs Cercle Brugge
RWDM has been a team that has shown that they are capable of scoring goals but at the same time against top teams stand no chance since they give way too much space. They lost 7-1 to Club Brugge and 0-4 against Genk. Cercle Brugge right now is in 3rd place with 3 wins in a row and overall just good play with a lot of energy and high pressing. However, they seem to be correctly valued on the market and their matches generally don't have that many goals with only 1 going over 2.5 so far. Cercle regularly has matches with a very high corner count but it's not systematic which is why the average corner line remains the same. This makes me look at a potential over at a higher line and higher odds. For now,
No-Pre-Game Bets
Union vs Racing Genk
Union had an impressive start of the season against all expectation since so many of their players left the team. They did fail in their last 2 matches however with a 2-2 against Antwerp where they played well and a surprise 4-0 away loss against Mechelen where it showed that they are vulnerable on the counter when they are behind. Genk had a less fortunate start of the season underperforming with Heynen getting injured and the position of deep striker not filled properly. They did get Zeqiri to possibly solve the scoring issue but it remains to be seen how good he is. Heynen also is back in the team and El Khannous is reaching a high level so they certainly have the potential to be once of the better teams. I took an early crypto bet of 42$ on an outright
Genk win @ 4.00 odds which I simply think is too high even though based on how teams performed so far Union certainly deserves to be the favorite. The odds on the asian market right now are 3.553 and i'm not sure if I'm willing to run extra risk on those. Genk Team total over is also an option for an in-game bet. Union has been an overish team while Genk managed to create the chances but missed the finishing quality which now should be better
Club Brugge vs Charleroi
Club Brugge right now is a complete team who also showed to be reliable in not having an off day. In their last match, they lost away against AA Gent who simply had much higher intensity and will to win. Even with this, Brugge could have gotten a result. Charleroi has been rather unfortunate so far with 4 draws and 2 losses. Their main issue has been finishing power and luck also hasn't been on their side while they should be good as a mid-table team with enough overall quality. Their style is usually defensive-mindend but they did come out away against Anderlecht way more offensive which was mostly out of spite of their coach who was sacked in Anderlecht a while back for a too defensive approach. I do expect Charleroi to play the game where they aim to break down their opponent and possibly come out a couple times on the counter. In the end over 90 minutes, the quality difference should be too big. The way it goes with these matches is that you either get in early on the favorite or wait in-game as the odds always tends to come down which again was the case here. Club Brugge once in the lead might take it slow with an eye to conserve energy knowing Charleroi is going to have a hard time to create much.
No Pre-Game Bets
Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. I'm also sharing all my early pre-game bets there at the time that I am betting them myself.
I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review
I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections which are all counted as 1-unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. If you do follow, make sure to shop around for the best odds. In the last 3 seasons, I had 622 of these bets good for +41.274 units and +6.64% ROI.- (Last Update 28 July 2023).
Season 2023-2024 Crypto Bets
| Date | Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Bookie |
|---|
| 16/09/2023 | Genk -0.5 | 42$ | 4.00 | TBD | Rollbit |
| 03/09/2023 | CHA vs STV O 12.5 CK | 0.0078 ETH | 4.80 | -0.0078ETH | Dexsport.io |
| 03/09/2023 | CHA vs STV O 11 CK | 0.0122 ETH | 3.10 | -0.0122 ETH | Dexsport.io |
| 27/08/2023 | AND 1H -0.5 CK | 100$ | 1.690 | -100$ | Rollbit |
| 19/08/2023 | Cercle Over CK | 0.05 ETH | ~ | -0.05 ETH | Dexsport.io |
| 17/08/2023 | GNK 1H -0.5 CK | 80$ | 1.620 | +49.6$ | Rollbit |
| 11/08/2023 | ANT 1H Goals +0 | 50$ | 2.328 | +66.4$ | Rollbit |
| 06/08/2023 | AA Gent TT O1.5 | 0.0018 BTC | 1.980 | -0.0018 BTC | Sportbet.one |
| 06/08/2023 | KVM vs GNT O2.5 | 00034 BTC | 1.870 | -0.0034 BTC | Sportbet.one |
| 06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 0.0045 BTC | 1.810 | -0.0045 BTC | Sportbet.one |
| 06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 0.03 ETH | 1.830 | -0.03 ETH | Dexsport.io |
| 06/08/2023 | Antwerp +0 | 30000 XFUN | 1.830 | -30000 XFUN | Xfun.bet |
| 5/08/2023 | Cercle 1H O 2.5 CK | 0.0109 ETH | 1.850 | -0.0109 ETH | Dexsport.io |
| 5/08/2023 | Cercle 1H -0.5 CK | 80$ | 1.670 | -80$ | Rollbit |
| 05/08/2023 | Genk -1.5 | 0.0045 BTC | 1.920 | -0.0045 BTC | Sportbet.one |
| 02/08/2023 | Genk 1H -0.5 CK | 50$ | 1.660 | +33$ | Rollbit |
| 30/07/2023 | Ant Equal Goals Halves | 3500 XFUN | 3.600 | -3500 XFUN | Xfun.bet |
| 30/07/2023 | Ant More Goals 1H | 40$ | 3.150 | +86$ | Rollbit |
Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...
Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record
| Year | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit BTC | ROI |
|---|
| 2022-2023 | 76 | 42 | 31 | 3 | 0.1685 | +0.029687 | +17.62% |
| 2021-2022 | 56 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 0.115 | +0.0166 | +14.45% |
| 2020-2021 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.0250 | -0.002845 | -11.38% |
| 2019-2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0100 | +0.01271 | +127% |
| 2018-2019 | 59 | 24 | 27 | 5 | 0.5900 | -0.02199 | -3.7% |
| 2017-2018 | 136 | 65 | 64 | 7 | 1.233 | +0.112687 | +9.14% |
| 2016-2017 | 70 | 34 | 34 | 2 | 0.658 | +0.006912 | +1.05% |
| Total | 402 | 194 | 183 | 22 | 2.7995 | +0.153761 | +5.49% |
IMPORTANT !
Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!
Posted using SportsTalkSocial
Thanks for sharing this post @costanza.
Your analysis and ability to figure out the lagging ability in players and the clubs they play for is awesome. I am quite familiar with some clubs in the Belgian league. Club Brugge has being my favorite, maybe because I watch them in the UEFA champions league.
I don't think I bet often well, maybe it's because of my crypto portfolio, but I think people who watch games quite well should be able to make cool cash for themselves especially when it involves cryptocurrency. But sometimes, we could also experience shocking results from games which we expected a win.
I do more and more feel like Sports Betting is solved with lines being just razor sharp. It's still possible to find an edge though but if surely is a challenge.